Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Valuation of stocks -- Vitaliy N. Katsenelson

 
Q-G-V
 
Quality --
  • competitive advantage
  • Management
  • Predictable Earnings
  • Strong Balance Sheet
  • Significance of Free Cash Flows
  • High Return of Capital
Growth --
  • Sources of earning growth and dividends -- the past
  • Future engines of growth
  • Dividends
Valuation --
  • DCF models
  • Relative valuation versus absolute valuation
  • False precision
  • Margin of Safety
  • Absolute P/E
  • P/E compression
Valuation and Growth are joint at the hip -- Warren Buffet
Quality makes sure the company is still around to collect the fruit of its work.
 
 
Good quality and good growth but expensive valuation --- great company does not mean great stock
 
Good quality company with reasonable valuation but low on growth -- increase Margin of Safety
 
Good growth story with reasonable valuation but low on quality -- the MOST dangerous kind of stock to own
 
 

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